It was only a short two weeks ago when Deb and I flew into
Calgary on our way out to Emily’s graduation ceremony from the Centre for Arts
and Technology in Kelowna, BC. As the plane circled over the Stampede City I
commented on how many trees had already turned colour compared to the mostly
green trees we had flown away from in Kipling and area. By the time we arrived
back in Regina, just over a week later, we couldn’t believe how quickly the
leaves changed colour here in the short time that we were gone. Just like
clockwork…autumn began on September 22nd… then, bing-bang-boom…fall
is here! It went from summer to instant autumn in a matter of minutes. Or so it
seems.
We’re
barely into fall and the Winter Weather Prognosticators are out there already
spreading their long-term predictions as to the severity of the 2016-17 winter season. Apparently our
prairie winters are measured in severity. Hmmm. Seems there was no doubt that
the winter weather was going to be severe it’s just a matter of degree
determination then, I guess. Severe is the best that we can hope for? That’s
where we start? Severe then everything after that is more severe to severest? Yikes!
Winter is
winter and I will admit that I’m not its biggest fan but sometimes when I’m out
there snowshoeing around the golf course in the middle of winter and it’s about
-10C with no wind and the sun shining brighter than bright I
would not call that kind of Canadian winter weather “severe”. Just sayin’.
Anyway, the
good Old Farmer’s Almanac says we’re in for a doozy of a winter this time
around. Here’s what they say, “Winter will be colder than normal, with the
coldest periods in early and mid-December and early and mid-January, from late
January into early February, and in mid-and late February.” Re-read that
please. That’s straight from their pages! Really? So, I guess what they’re trying
to say is it’s going to be freakin’ cold from the beginning of December until
the end of February or as we locals refer to it…WIN TER!
On the other hand, Environment
Canada, like all government agencies, makes things trickier. They throw different
language at us like, “probabilistic” and “deterministic” and phrases like
“climatology of temperature and precipitation” and “verification of previous
forecasts” so only meteorologists, or the like, can understand what the deuce
they’re talking about.
Go onto the Environment Canada
website and try to look up “long-term forecasts” and you go from link to link
to link with some degree of success but you end up looking at so much
gobbledygook with charts and graphs and whatnot you don’t have a clue what
they’re going on about. That’s because I don’t think they do, either. It’ll all
a ruse to distract you so you forget why you went to site in the first place. My
best guess from the stuff that I looked at was that it might be warmer than
normal until the end of November and then it’s a crapshoot after that.
Something along those lines, anyway, have a look for yourself to see if you can
make any sense out of it all.
But isn’t it a little bit early to
be worrying about winter? Hm? In the end, it doesn’t really matter what they
say might happen, does it? We’ll get what we get and we should do like all good
Canadians do and that’s hope for the best and prepare for the worst and
remember…there is no bad weather…only bad clothing.
“I figure lots of predictions is
best. People will forget the ones I get wrong and marvel over the rest.” Alan
Cox (1968-).